When you do the maths, it turns out a man in his 30s has a higher chance of developing a long-term illness than someone in their 60s does of dying.
Now the math: When you multiply the hospitalization rate for 30-something men (about 1.2 percent) by the chronic-illness rate of hospitalized patients (almost 90 percent), you get about 1 percent. That means a guy my age has one-in-100 chance of developing a long-term illness after contracting COVID-19. For context, the estimated infection-fatality rate for somebody in their 60s is 0.7 percentWhat Young, Healthy People Have to Fear From COVID-19. Derek Thompson/The Atlantic